Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000810 0.000924 0.001044 0.001179 0.001329 0.001488 0.001669
2024-12-29 0.000620 0.000775 0.000951 0.001164 0.001412 0.001690 0.002025
2025-01-05 0.000525 0.000700 0.000907 0.001167 0.001483 0.001850 0.002305
2025-01-12 0.000446 0.000630 0.000857 0.001154 0.001526 0.001972 0.002539
2025-01-19 0.000382 0.000569 0.000810 0.001135 0.001554 0.002068 0.002739
2025-01-26 0.000347 0.000542 0.000801 0.001161 0.001636 0.002231 0.003021
2025-02-02 0.000316 0.000516 0.000790 0.001181 0.001708 0.002382 0.003290
2025-02-09 0.000277 0.000474 0.000754 0.001162 0.001727 0.002461 0.003469
2025-02-16 0.000241 0.000433 0.000715 0.001137 0.001733 0.002522 0.003622
2025-02-23 0.000221 0.000414 0.000705 0.001150 0.001791 0.002652 0.003868
2025-03-02 0.000202 0.000395 0.000693 0.001159 0.001842 0.002773 0.004103
2025-03-09 0.000176 0.000360 0.000654 0.001127 0.001832 0.002809 0.004223
2025-03-16 0.000152 0.000327 0.000617 0.001093 0.001819 0.002841 0.004339
2025-03-23 0.000137 0.000308 0.000600 0.001090 0.001850 0.002935 0.004543
2025-03-30 0.000124 0.000292 0.000586 0.001090 0.001885 0.003034 0.004756
2025-04-06 0.000110 0.000273 0.000566 0.001079 0.001902 0.003106 0.004931
2025-04-13 0.000097 0.000253 0.000542 0.001060 0.001905 0.003158 0.005077
2025-04-20 0.000092 0.000248 0.000544 0.001085 0.001977 0.003312 0.005372
2025-04-27 0.000086 0.000242 0.000544 0.001104 0.002039 0.003454 0.005652
2025-05-04 0.000076 0.000225 0.000522 0.001086 0.002043 0.003506 0.005801
2025-05-11 0.000067 0.000208 0.000499 0.001062 0.002034 0.003539 0.005922
2025-05-18 0.000062 0.000201 0.000495 0.001075 0.002085 0.003664 0.006182
2025-05-25 0.000057 0.000194 0.000490 0.001083 0.002130 0.003780 0.006430